China Dairy ›› 2026, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (1): 2-8.doi: 10.12377/1671-4393.26.01.01

• DAIRY ECONOMICS • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Research on the Elasticity of Import Demand and Market Pattern of Dairy Products in China--An Empirical Analysis Based on the Rotterdam Model

HE Lei, LI Shuyang, ZHEN Xiaoyu   

  1. Shaanxi University of Science & Technology, Xi'an Shaanxi 710021
  • Online:2026-01-25 Published:2026-03-09

PDF (PC)

5

Abstract: As the world's largest importer and consumer of dairy products, China exhibits distinctive characteristics in its dairy trade, including a widening deficit and high concentration in import markets. Utilizing monthly import data of Chinese dairy products from 2015 to 2023, this study analyzed the current landscape and trends in terms of source countries, import volume, and product structure. The Rotterdam model is employed to estimate the import demand elasticity for dairy products. The findings indicate that China's import demand for dairy products is inelastic, with a pronounced preference for imports from New Zealand and Australia. To address these patterns, it is recommended to strengthen quality regulations and tariff controls, promote diversification of import sources and refinement of supervision mechanisms, and enhance international bargaining power and rule-making influence.

Key words: dairy products, import demand, demand elasticity, rotterdam model

[1] 彭虹. 中国乳制品进口贸易现状及政策优化分析[J].华南理工大学学报(社会科学版),2019,21(1):40-47.
[2] 张子槟. 中国乳制品进出口贸易问题及策略分析[J].食品安全导刊,2021(31):165-167.
[3] 张萍. “一带一路”背景下中国乳业贸易格局优化研究[D].北京:北京农学院,2020.
[4] 贺蕾. 中国锯材和原木进口需求弹性及市场格局研究[J].林业经济问题,2022,42(3):289-297.
[5] 罗利平,蒋勇,胡友.日本花卉进口需求弹性分析及我国的策略选择[J].现代日本经济,2013(3):88-95.
[6] 罗利平,蒋勇.基于Rotterdam模型的德国花卉进口需求弹性分析[J].世界农业,2014(1):83-89,192.
[7] 董政祎,王玉斌.基于Rotterdam模型的中国天然橡胶进口需求分析[J].资源开发与市场,2018,34(3):309-315.
[8] 贺蕾,霍学喜.进口需求函数选择及弹性分析——以美国苹果汁进口需求为例[J].统计与信息论坛,2011,26(7):38-44.
[9] 贺蕾,霍学喜.日本果汁市场的进口需求分析[J].国际贸易问题,2011(11):116-125.
[10] Andrew Muhammad,Keithly G.Jones.The end of the trade war? Effects of tariff exclusions on U.S. forest products in China[J].Forest Policy and Ecomomics,2021,122:102350.
[11] 邢丽荣,徐翔.美国市场罗非鱼进口需求分析[J].国际经贸探索,2013, 29(11):4-14.
[1] TIAN Kai, WAN Zhihan, LI Jiayun, LI Jiajing, ZHANG Ruohan, YAN Xuetong, ZHAO Yuting, WANG Xun, SUN Shanshan. Research on the Historical,Technological and Cultural Transmission of Multi-ethnic Dairy Products in Yunnan and Its Implications for the Development of Contemporary Dairy Industry [J]. China Dairy, 2026, 0(1): 29-36.
[2] WEN Lele. Analysis of Issues in Dairy Product Quality and Safety Supervision [J]. China Dairy, 2026, 0(1): 77-83.
[3] LU Guangye, ZHANG Huiping, ZHANG Meijuan, JIN Wei, YI Hongbo, LU Guanghui, WU Teng, LI Hao, LIU Junjun. Study on the Detection Method of Aflatoxin B1 in Cheese and Milk [J]. China Dairy, 2026, 0(1): 84-89.
[4] ZHANG Chao, XU Ke, WU Rijin, NA Muri, YU Zetian, ZHANG Fenghua, CHEN Zijie, DONG Xiaoxia. Measurement and Influencing Factors of Resilience in China's Dairy Industry Chain [J]. China Dairy, 2025, 0(12): 2-9.
[5] HE Yanping, YANG Aijun, HE Ying, JI Kunfa, CHEN Xin, LIAO Simin, CHEN Xiaodong. Practice and Innovation of JIT Management in Dairy Plant Warehouses Based on Quality and Safety [J]. China Dairy, 2025, 0(12): 43-51.
[6] YANG Yuezhen. Research on the Construction of the Dairy Product Regulatory System and Quality Improvement Paths in Inner Mongolia [J]. China Dairy, 2025, 0(11): 130-136.
[7] YANG Jian, LI Hui, YI Hongbo, WANG Danhui, ZHU Lei, LIU Boyang, WANG Hui, WANG Xiaomin, SUN Hongna. Research on Data Collection of Smart Laboratory Equipment for Milk and Dairy Products [J]. China Dairy, 2025, 0(10): 109-115.
[8] SONG Yanjing, LI Juan. Research Progress on Quality and Safety Testing Techniques for Dairy Products [J]. China Dairy, 2024, 0(8): 119-123.
[9] MA Yuting. On the Internal Control of Sales and Collection Business in Dairy Enterprises [J]. China Dairy, 2024, 0(7): 10-14.
[10] SONG Haoyang. Research on the Problems and Countermeasures of Online Marketing of Dairy Products [J]. China Dairy, 2024, 0(5): 35-39.
[11] WANG Zhaoyan. Research on Product Quality Supervision in Dairy Industry [J]. China Dairy, 2024, 0(4): 115-119.
[12] PANG Qianqian. The Determination of the Standards for Reviewing the Responsibility of Director Behavior——Taking the Infringement of Infant and Toddler Dairy Product Quality as an Example [J]. China Dairy, 2024, 0(4): 120-123.
[13] WEN Jing, ZHANG Zhijun, GU ZailiNuEr·Aimaiti, GUO Tongjun. Hazard and Cause Analysis of Perchlorate Chlorate in Milk and Dairy Products [J]. China Dairy, 2024, 0(3): 57-64.
[14] HAO Xiaoyan, DONG Chao, WANG Yongmei. Research on Evolutionary Game of Dairy Quality and Safety Supply Complex Network from the Perspective of Collaborative Governance [J]. China Dairy, 2024, 0(11): 84-95.
[15] HUANG Yanyue, ZHOU Fengjie. Exploring the Functional Trend of Dairy Products under the New Consumption Background [J]. China Dairy, 2023, 0(9): 80-83.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited
  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!
Copyright © 2018 Editorial Board of China Dairy
Powered by Beijing Magtech Co. Ltd